Unanswered Questions for Marketing in 2012

Unanswered Questions for Marketing in 2012:

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If there’s one thing the past few years have been notable for, for marketers, it’s instability and uncertainty. Core assumptions of the craft are being called into question by technological shifts, a growing impetus on globalization is running into geography-specific challenges, and it’s unclear whether consumers and business buyers will re-learn pre-recession habits.

A lot of these are longer-term issues, ones that we might not get clarity on for a few years. But some might be decided in 2012. Here are some things to look out for:

B2B social/digital media.In the B2B space, we think this might be the year that marketers gain a bit more visibility into how best to use social media in the business buying environment. A number of variables are falling into place: for instance, marketing automation technologies are helping marketers use social data and platforms more effectively and a greater percentage of buyers are becoming more comfortable with social media.

I’m not suggesting that we’ll learn “the answer” to all B2B social media related questions, but I think we’ll get quite a bit closer.

Geograhpic uncertainties.A number of the major markets big firms have invested in across the last 10 years are showing signs that idiosyncratic issues might affect consumer and business outcomes in the next year. In the United States, the November presidential election is very important for – among others – the finance and healthcare industries, as legislation passed under President Obama may be rolled back in the event a Republican unseats him. In Europe, the ongoing sovereign debt crisis still threatens big consequences for the Eurozone, and if the situation isn’t resolved well (and soon), consumers could feel the pain even worse than they do now.

In India, the government has begun to show signs of wariness towards Western business, such as shelving a plan to allow foreign retailers to open stores in the country. And in China, there are some signs that phenomenal economic growth may be slowing.

In general, firms have done a great job of hedging their bets geographically, but significant challenges in each of those geographies remain – challenges that may shake out between now and December 31.

Erosion of sticky recession habits. We’ve talked about it here before, but there’s significant evidence that it takes consumers and businesses quite some time to retreat from frugal habits learned in recessionary times – even if those habits aren’t strictly necessary anymore.

Those habits have created some pretty tough times for marketers, as margins have decreased, price comparison and individual research blunt the impact of messaging, and budget contractions have shrunken the spending pie.

We know that habits shift through some combination of changing economic circumstances and time. Will 2012 be the year your customers loosen the strings a bit?

Mobile and e-commerce. Pretty much everyone buys some things online these days, but in recent years, we’ve seen a vanguard of early adopters shift to doing most or all of their shopping online or with their phones (you can count me as one; I hate malls). With Amazon Prime and a subscription to a grocery delivery service like Peapod or FreshDirect, one can just about get away with never stepping into a retail store again.

Now, clearly, there are benefits to the retail environment that, for some, make up for the hassle of having to actually enter the store. I think this may be the year where brands and retailers figure out exactly what those things are, and find a limit on consumers’ willingness to shift their shopping online.

What have we missed? Let us know in the comments.